Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Welcome to Trump Tower....... Umm I mean the White House?

This is a counter point to the recent blog post discussing the chance of Bernie Sanders winning the White House. In this article, a statistician predicts that Donald Trump will win the election in November. Similar to the blog below, this person has never been wrong. Well, it finally happened everyone. All of the other potential candidates dropped out and now the Trumpster (hybrid of Trump and dumpster) himself is the nominee for the Republican party. All of the odds stacked against him including not really being qualified for the position in the first place.

The Associated Press
I can't remember a time where I have hoped for a statistic to be wrong. This prediction was made a few months ago and gives Trump a 100% chance of winning. If I would have read this prediction before today I would have said no way is this possible. But maybe it isnt real. Maybe this is simply a year where the statistics got lucky and picked the outlier. There are a lot of things that I doubt the model can take into consideration. Such as, the other horrible candidates fighting for the Republican nomination and the general populations general IQ. So with that being said. Is there a possibility that Bernie could win it all as an Independent? Crazier things have happened. As a matter of fact that thing happened today.

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